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Seti, the Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence, has until now sought radio signals from worlds like Earth.
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Writing in Acta Astronautica, he says that the odds favour detecting such alien AI rather than "biological" life.
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That has led to a hunt for life that is bound to follow at least some rules of biochemistry, live for a finite period of time, procreate, and above all be subject to the processes of evolution.
But Dr Shostak makes the point that while evolution can take a large amount of time to develop beings capable of communicating beyond their own planet, technology would already be advancing fast enough to eclipse the species that wrought it.
"If you look at the timescales for the development of technology, at some point you invent radio and then you go on the air and then we have a chance of finding you," he told BBC News.
"But within a few hundred years of inventing radio - at least if we're any example - you invent thinking machines; we're probably going to do that in this century.
"So you've invented your successors and only for a few hundred years are you... a 'biological' intelligence."
'Moving target'
John Elliott, a Seti research veteran based at Leeds Metropolitan University, UK, says that Dr Shostak is putting on a firmer footing a feeling that is not uncommon in the Seti community.
"You have to start somewhere, and there's nothing wrong with that," Dr Elliott told BBC News.
Alien AI may choose to linger at galactic centres, where matter and energy are plentiful "But having now looked for signals for 50 years, Seti is going through a process of realising the way our technology is advancing is probably a good indicator of how other civilisations - if they're out there - would've progressed.
"Certainly what we're looking at out there is an evolutionary moving target."
Both Dr Shostak and Dr Elliott concede that finding and decoding any eventual message from such alien thinking machines may prove more difficult than in the "biological" case, but the idea does provide new directions to look.
Dr Shostak says that artificially intelligent alien life would be likely to migrate to places where both matter and energy - the only things he says would be of interest to the machines - would be in plentiful supply. That means the Seti hunt may need to focus its attentions near hot, young stars or even near the centres of galaxies.
"I think we could spend at least a few percent of our time... looking in the directions that are maybe not the most attractive in terms of biological intelligence but maybe where sentient machines are hanging out."
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[Aug 26, 2010 at 01:59 AM]
The assailant opened fire during a training session in a premeditated attack, according to Spanish Interior Minister Alfredo Perez Rubalcaba.
After the shooting, a crowd of angry locals violently protested outside wow levelinga Spanish base in Qalay-i-Naw.
The BBC's Quentin Sommerville in the capital, Kabul, says hundreds of men attacked the base shouting and throwing stones.
Some attempted to scale the walls and shots were also fired, our correspondent says.
The protest has now ended, and a local hospital spokesman said 24 people had been injured - some with bullet wounds.
'Damages morale'
The two Spanish officers were from the paramilitary Civil Guard.ffxiv power leveling Final Fantasy XIV Power leveling FF14 Power leveling FFXIV Gil Final Fantasy XIV Gil FFXIV Gold buy ffxiv gil ff14 gild ffxiv powerleveling power leveling wow powerleveling wow power leveling world of warcraft power leveling
"In a class, one of the students apparently opened fire on the two Civil Guard policemen and the interpreter, who was also Spanish, and killed all three," Mr Rubalcaba told the Cadena Ser radio station.
"The security forces in turn repulsed the attack, fired on the assailant and killed him."
He said the Spanish authorities were looking into who ordered the attack.
The Taliban says the cadet was working for them, but the militant claims could not be verified.
"I can't say whether the Taliban was behind it or not, [but] what is clear is that it was a premeditated attack... it was a terrorist attack," Mr Rubalcaba said.
The Nato-led Isaf mission to Afghanistan said earlier that the motive for the killing was not clear.
A spokesman for the governor of Badghis, Sharaf Uddin, told the BBC's Pashto service that the killings happened after an Afghan policeman had quarrelled with the two Spanish officers.
Such rogue attacks are rare, but our correspondent says they do damage morale.
Previous shootings of international personnel by Afghan recruits include an incident in which a Afghan soldier killed three British troops in Helmand province last month.
Spain currently has 1,555 personnel deployed in Afghanistan.
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[Sep 06, 2010 at 07:19 AM]
In a video obtained exclusively by the BBC, the group said it took the decision several months ago "to put in motion a democratic process".
The Basque interior minister called the statement "insufficient". Madrid has previously insisted that Eta renounce violence and disarm before any talks.
Eta's violent campaign has led to more than 820 deaths over the past 40 years.
This latest announcement comes after the arrests of numerous Eta leaders and during an unprecedented period of debate within the Basque nationalist community over the future direction of policy, says the BBC's Clive Myrie in San Sebastian.
Eta has been coming under increasing pressure to lay down its weapons, our correspondent adds.
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It is unclear whether Eta is declaring a permanent or temporary ceasefire.
In the video obtained by the BBC, three hooded Eta fighters are shown sitting behind a desk with the Eta flag pinned up behind them.
Continue reading the main story
It is widely accepted that Eta is weaker than ever in its 51-year history. So to many people, Eta's retrospective ceasefire will look like an attempt to disguise its weakness as a desire for peace. Some will shrug it off as irrelevant; others will dismiss it as a way to regroup and re-arm.
Eta's hope must be to negotiate the legalisation of Batasuna, and achieve its aims through the ballot box.
After so many years of conflict, the government may find it difficult to dismiss Eta's call for a truce, out of hand. The pull of presiding over a moment of history might prove irresistible. But it has tried that before, and failed.
This latest ceasefire declaration could mark the beginning of the end of the conflict, or just another pause in the violence.
Eta 'ceasefire' all too familiar The figure in the middle reads out a prepared statement defending Eta's campaign of violence, but towards the end she s
"Eta confirms its commitment to finding a democratic solution to the conflict," the statement says.
"In its commitment to a democratic process to decide freely and democratically our future, through dialogue and negotiations, Eta is prepared today as yesterday to agree to the minimum democratic conditions necessary to put in motion a democratic process, if the Spanish government is willing," it says.
It adds that Eta "took the decision several months ago not to carry out armed actions".
The statement ends: "We call on all Basque citizens to continue in the struggle, each in their own field, with whatever degree of commitment they have, so that we can all cast down the wall of denial and make irreversible moves forward on the road to freedom."
Eta announces that it took the decision several months ago not to carry out armed actions.
Nationalist politicians in the Basque country welcomed the announcement and called on the Spanish government and the international community to respond positively.
The pro-Eta party Batasuna, which has been banned since 2003 on the grounds that it is Eta's political wing, is one of two Basque nationalist parties to have called on Eta to declare "an internationally verifiable ceasefire" days earlier.
Cautious reaction
But Rodolfo Ares, the interior minister for the Basque region, called Eta's statement inadequate.
"Any declaration that talks about the suspension of terrorist attacks - even if it is only temporary - should be considered as good news," he said.
But he called Eta's declaration "ambiguous" and "absolutely insufficient", because it did not "take into account what the vast majority of Basque society demands and requires from Eta, which is that it definitively abandon terrorist activity".
The Spanish government, which has been studying Eta's statement but is yet to make an official response, has said in the past that it will only negotiate with Eta if it renounces violence and disarms.
The deputy editor of the Basque language newspaper, Gara, which follows the activities of Eta closely, said the Basque people had been hoping for this declaration.
"I think that it's a big step and a positive step," Njaki Soto told the BBC. "I think that's it's something that the majority of the Basque society was waiting [for] or expecting and in that sense I think that it's something that no-one can say that it's negative."
"It will be a long way but it's something that can bring the peace and the justice to the Basque country," he said.
Barbara Duhrkop, a former Socialist MEP whose husband Enrique Casas was murdered by Eta in 1984, said the statement was a positive step but did not go far enough.
"It's still insufficient because they talk about ceasefire, democratic process, but there's nothing about laying down arms and permanence. So I would be very careful, very cautious to evaluate how much worth there is in this announcement," she said.
Founded in 1959, Eta has since then waged a bloody campaign for independence for the seven regions in northern Spain and south-west France that Basque separatists claim as their own.
Controversial peace talks in 2006 collapsed after an Eta bomb killed two people at Madrid airport.
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The organisers of the shipment, the Gaddafi Foundation, insist the Moldovan-flagged Amalthea is ignoring a warning from Israel to change course.
Israeli officials say the captain has agreed to divert to Egypt but the ship cannot move owing to engine problems.
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地震重灾区灾情尤为严重
记者从四川省政府防汛抗旱指挥部了解到,这次强降雨过程中,阿坝、德阳、绵阳、成都、广元、雅安等十余个市州降下大雨或暴雨,岷江、青衣江、涪江等江河出现超警戒或超保证水位洪水。
受强降雨影响,四川多个市州出现洪涝、泥石流、山体滑坡等灾害,其中,地震重灾区绵竹市、汶川县、都江堰市的灾情尤为严重。
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13日凌晨,绵竹突降特大暴雨,该市清平乡特大山洪暴发,形成泥石流达500万立方米,导致流经场镇的河流改道和绵远河清平段堵塞形成堰塞湖,造成交通、通信全部中断,5000多人被困,造成9人死亡、5人失踪。
13日下午至晚上,都江堰市龙池、虹口两地因强降雨导致山洪暴发,近800人被困。截至14日19时,灾害已造成1人死亡、12人失踪。
汶川已有38人失踪
13日晚至14日凌晨,汶川县境内突降暴雨,导致映秀、漩口、银杏等多个乡镇发生滑坡、泥石流等灾情,交通、通信、电力、供水中断,截至14日15时已造成38人失踪,特别岷江河段形成堰塞湖,将沿江的九寨沟环线、213国道淹没200多米,道路中断,大量人员滞留或被困。
这次受灾较重的汶川、绵竹、都江堰、平武等地均为汶川地震重灾区,震后因多次暴雨而重复受灾,对于当地群众来说是雪上加霜;这次灾情造成汶川、绵竹灾区交通、通信中断,给抢险救灾造成重重困难。
【灾情】
岷江改道冲进映秀镇
震中生命线再次中断,映秀板房医院被冲毁
受强降雨影响,都汶高速映秀段侧山体突发泥石流,岷江改道冲进映秀镇,数万人民群众生命财产受到严重威胁。武警水电三总队官兵闻讯而动,紧急赶赴现场抢通救援。
由于震中生命线213国道汶川段多处中断,武警水电三总队120名官兵,携48台装载机、载重车等重型抢险设备紧急赶赴一线,全力投入抢险战斗。截至目前,已抢通道路50米,开挖2000立方米。
目前,银杏乡境内泥石流塌方量高达6万方,流经该乡的岷江也因泥石流阻断,正在形成堰塞湖。映秀镇板房医院被泥石流冲毁
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But Seti astronomer Seth Shostak argues that the time between aliens developing radio technology and artificial intelligence (AI) would be short.
Writing in Acta Astronautica, he says that the odds favour detecting such alien AI rather than "biological" life.
Many involved in Seti have long argued that nature may have solved the problem of life using different designs or chemicals, suggesting extraterrestrials would not only not look like us, but that they would not at a biological level even work like us.
However, Seti searchers have mostly still worked under the assumption - as a starting point for a search of the entire cosmos - that ETs would be "alive" in the sense that we know.wow power leveling
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That has led to a hunt for life that is bound to follow at least some rules of biochemistry, live for a finite period of time, procreate, and above all be subject to the processes of evolution.
But Dr Shostak makes the point that while evolution can take a large amount of time to develop beings capable of communicating beyond their own planet, technology would already be advancing fast enough to eclipse the species that wrought it.
"If you look at the timescales for the development of technology, at some point you invent radio and then you go on the air and then we have a chance of finding you," he told BBC News.
"But within a few hundred years of inventing radio - at least if we're any example - you invent thinking machines; we're probably going to do that in this century.
"So you've invented your successors and only for a few hundred years are you... a 'biological' intelligence."
'Moving target'
John Elliott, a Seti research veteran based at Leeds Metropolitan University, UK, says that Dr Shostak is putting on a firmer footing a feeling that is not uncommon in the Seti community.
"You have to start somewhere, and there's nothing wrong with that," Dr Elliott told BBC News.
Alien AI may choose to linger at galactic centres, where matter and energy are plentiful "But having now looked for signals for 50 years, Seti is going through a process of realising the way our technology is advancing is probably a good indicator of how other civilisations - if they're out there - would've progressed.
"Certainly what we're looking at out there is an evolutionary moving target."
Both Dr Shostak and Dr Elliott concede that finding and decoding any eventual message from such alien thinking machines may prove more difficult than in the "biological" case, but the idea does provide new directions to look.
Dr Shostak says that artificially intelligent alien life would be likely to migrate to places where both matter and energy - the only things he says would be of interest to the machines - would be in plentiful supply. That means the Seti hunt may need to focus its attentions near hot, young stars or even near the centres of galaxies.
"I think we could spend at least a few percent of our time... looking in the directions that are maybe not the most attractive in terms of biological intelligence but maybe where sentient machines are hanging out."
<p]The Oyster Date has a humbler story. Although Rolex is famous for automatic watches that wind themselves with the wearer's wrist motion—Perpetual is what Rolex calls it-it has also stayed in the manual wind watch game for a number of reasons. In the definitive Rolex history, The<EM] Best of Time</EM]<EM]<STRONG], </STRONG]</EM]authors Dowling and Hess state that in World War II many soldiers distrusted the newfangled self-winding technology and preferred the older and proven manual wind watches. The manual winding watches stayed in the line even after the war was long over for reasons of cost. The manual wind watches could be made and sold more inexpensively, allowing the consumer to obtain a good, solid watch with <A (...) Rolex</STRONG][/url] watches quality without the premium price of the flagship models. These top of the line models were always perpetual models.</p]
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"In a class, one of the students apparently opened fire on the two Civil Guard policemen and the interpreter, who was also Spanish, and killed all three," Mr Rubalcaba told the Cadena Ser radio station.
"The security forces in turn repulsed the attack, fired on the assailant and killed him."
He said the Spanish authorities were looking into who ordered the attack.
The Taliban says the cadet was working for them, but the militant claims could not be verified.
"I can't say whether the Taliban was behind it or not, [but] what is clear is that it was a premeditated attack... it was a terrorist attack," Mr Rubalcaba said.
The Nato-led Isaf mission to Afghanistan said earlier that the motive for the killing was not clear.
A spokesman for the governor of Badghis, Sharaf Uddin, told the BBC's Pashto service that the killings happened after an Afghan policeman had quarrelled with the two Spanish officers.
Such rogue attacks are rare, but our correspondent says they do damage morale.
Previous shootings of international personnel by Afghan recruits include an incident in which a Afghan soldier killed three British troops in Helmand province last month.
Spain currently has 1,555 personnel deployed in Afghanistan.
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The Basque interior minister called the statement "insufficient". Madrid has previously insisted that Eta renounce violence and disarm before any talks.
Eta's violent campaign has led to more than 820 deaths over the past 40 years.
This latest announcement comes after the arrests of numerous Eta leaders and during an unprecedented period of debate within the Basque nationalist community over the future direction of policy, says the BBC's Clive Myrie in San Sebastian.
Eta has been coming under increasing pressure to lay down its weapons, our correspondent adds.
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It is unclear whether Eta is declaring a permanent or temporary ceasefire.
In the video obtained by the BBC, three hooded Eta fighters are shown sitting behind a desk with the Eta flag pinned up behind them.
Continue reading the main story
It is widely accepted that Eta is weaker than ever in its 51-year history. So to many people, Eta's retrospective ceasefire will look like an attempt to disguise its weakness as a desire for peace. Some will shrug it off as irrelevant; others will dismiss it as a way to regroup and re-arm.
Eta's hope must be to negotiate the legalisation of Batasuna, and achieve its aims through the ballot box.
After so many years of conflict, the government may find it difficult to dismiss Eta's call for a truce, out of hand. The pull of presiding over a moment of history might prove irresistible. But it has tried that before, and failed.
This latest ceasefire declaration could mark the beginning of the end of the conflict, or just another pause in the violence.
Eta 'ceasefire' all too familiar The figure in the middle reads out a prepared statement defending Eta's campaign of violence, but towards the end she s
"Eta confirms its commitment to finding a democratic solution to the conflict," the statement says.
"In its commitment to a democratic process to decide freely and democratically our future, through dialogue and negotiations, Eta is prepared today as yesterday to agree to the minimum democratic conditions necessary to put in motion a democratic process, if the Spanish government is willing," it says.
It adds that Eta "took the decision several months ago not to carry out armed actions".
The statement ends: "We call on all Basque citizens to continue in the struggle, each in their own field, with whatever degree of commitment they have, so that we can all cast down the wall of denial and make irreversible moves forward on the road to freedom."
Eta announces that it took the decision several months ago not to carry out armed actions.
Nationalist politicians in the Basque country welcomed the announcement and called on the Spanish government and the international community to respond positively.
The pro-Eta party Batasuna, which has been banned since 2003 on the grounds that it is Eta's political wing, is one of two Basque nationalist parties to have called on Eta to declare "an internationally verifiable ceasefire" days earlier.
Cautious reaction
But Rodolfo Ares, the interior minister for the Basque region, called Eta's statement inadequate.
"Any declaration that talks about the suspension of terrorist attacks - even if it is only temporary - should be considered as good news," he said.
But he called Eta's declaration "ambiguous" and "absolutely insufficient", because it did not "take into account what the vast majority of Basque society demands and requires from Eta, which is that it definitively abandon terrorist activity".
The Spanish government, which has been studying Eta's statement but is yet to make an official response, has said in the past that it will only negotiate with Eta if it renounces violence and disarms.
The deputy editor of the Basque language newspaper, Gara, which follows the activities of Eta closely, said the Basque people had been hoping for this declaration.
"I think that it's a big step and a positive step," Njaki Soto told the BBC. "I think that's it's something that the majority of the Basque society was waiting [for] or expecting and in that sense I think that it's something that no-one can say that it's negative."
"It will be a long way but it's something that can bring the peace and the justice to the Basque country," he said.
Barbara Duhrkop, a former Socialist MEP whose husband Enrique Casas was murdered by Eta in 1984, said the statement was a positive step but did not go far enough.
"It's still insufficient because they talk about ceasefire, democratic process, but there's nothing about laying down arms and permanence. So I would be very careful, very cautious to evaluate how much worth there is in this announcement," she said.
Founded in 1959, Eta has since then waged a bloody campaign for independence for the seven regions in northern Spain and south-west France that Basque separatists claim as their own.
Controversial peace talks in 2006 collapsed after an Eta bomb killed two people at Madrid airport.
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